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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 25.2% 23.6% 17.3% 13.4% 10.5% 5.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 10.7% 10.9% 12.1% 12.9% 14.3% 13.1% 10.8% 8.5% 4.7% 2.0% 0.0%
Oliver West 10.1% 11.0% 12.7% 13.5% 12.9% 14.9% 11.6% 7.6% 4.9% 0.6% 0.2%
Jackson McGeough 16.0% 14.0% 15.2% 17.0% 13.7% 11.9% 6.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Ella Lansford 7.4% 8.4% 8.7% 9.7% 12.1% 11.9% 14.3% 13.3% 9.2% 4.6% 0.4%
Tanner Cummings 3.9% 5.4% 6.6% 7.1% 8.8% 11.4% 16.2% 16.0% 13.4% 8.9% 2.3%
Zach O'connor 19.5% 19.3% 17.0% 12.6% 12.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 3.7% 4.9% 9.1% 13.2% 17.6% 28.2% 14.1%
Allen Gonzalez Barnes 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 4.5% 8.7% 12.9% 64.9%
Emma Launsby 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% 3.4% 4.3% 7.3% 9.7% 13.1% 18.2% 25.1% 11.9%
Julian Drake 2.5% 2.9% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 7.4% 11.4% 16.2% 20.2% 17.0% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.