Race 3B

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 25.9% 21.9% 18.1% 14.4% 10.4% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 10.5% 10.3% 13.2% 12.7% 15.1% 12.4% 10.9% 8.6% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Ella Lansford 6.3% 7.2% 8.9% 9.1% 11.1% 13.5% 15.7% 14.5% 9.4% 4.1% 0.2%
Jackson McGeough 15.5% 14.2% 15.2% 17.2% 13.6% 11.5% 7.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Oliver West 12.0% 12.8% 12.1% 13.9% 13.8% 11.0% 11.4% 7.1% 4.2% 1.7% 0.0%
Tanner Cummings 3.8% 5.2% 6.7% 7.6% 9.6% 12.2% 14.3% 15.2% 13.8% 8.8% 2.8%
Zach O'connor 18.9% 20.3% 16.6% 13.6% 11.2% 9.0% 5.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Julian Drake 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 4.3% 5.6% 10.4% 10.4% 17.4% 17.9% 18.8% 5.9%
Emma Launsby 2.2% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 6.3% 9.1% 13.6% 20.7% 23.2% 12.7%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.0% 4.4% 6.1% 7.9% 12.9% 18.6% 25.3% 15.7%
Allen Gonzalez Barnes 0.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.6% 4.0% 3.5% 7.1% 16.4% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.