Race 4B

florida

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 24.4% 24.1% 16.0% 14.6% 10.3% 6.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver West 10.9% 12.1% 12.9% 13.6% 15.2% 12.6% 8.0% 8.7% 4.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Ella Lansford 6.5% 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 11.3% 12.9% 15.9% 12.7% 9.8% 5.6% 1.2%
Jackson McGeough 14.8% 15.0% 16.2% 14.5% 14.6% 10.2% 8.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Zach O'connor 19.2% 16.0% 16.7% 14.9% 11.0% 10.0% 6.3% 3.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Harriss Thorne 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% 4.1% 5.9% 6.4% 11.2% 15.4% 16.6% 18.5% 12.6%
Lily Schwartz 11.7% 11.5% 12.8% 12.8% 13.5% 13.6% 10.3% 7.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.6%
Tanner Cummings 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.7% 12.1% 15.3% 12.5% 14.9% 8.5% 3.3%
Emma Launsby 2.1% 2.8% 2.0% 3.8% 3.3% 6.1% 8.3% 12.3% 17.2% 20.2% 21.9%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 5.6% 8.4% 11.7% 15.2% 21.9% 24.8%
Ross Ellis 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 3.1% 4.1% 5.5% 10.8% 13.2% 21.5% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.