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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zach O'connor 15.8% 17.6% 17.0% 14.3% 14.8% 8.9% 6.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Grayson Tella 27.5% 22.0% 17.0% 14.8% 8.0% 6.3% 2.6% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 9.0% 9.9% 12.5% 12.1% 11.2% 15.2% 12.7% 9.2% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Oliver West 10.2% 11.2% 11.4% 14.0% 13.3% 14.1% 10.2% 9.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Jackson McGeough 16.7% 17.0% 16.1% 12.9% 13.1% 9.5% 8.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Ella Lansford 6.3% 8.3% 7.9% 10.6% 11.8% 13.0% 13.2% 11.6% 9.0% 6.5% 1.8%
Harriss Thorne 4.0% 3.3% 3.2% 5.2% 5.2% 8.4% 11.3% 15.8% 14.8% 17.9% 10.9%
Tanner Cummings 5.8% 4.4% 6.6% 8.0% 10.7% 10.9% 12.6% 13.3% 15.0% 9.1% 3.6%
Ross Ellis 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 3.4% 5.2% 8.6% 12.4% 19.4% 41.3%
Emma Launsby 1.9% 2.7% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 4.5% 9.6% 11.8% 17.9% 22.3% 17.7%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.6% 1.7% 3.0% 2.8% 4.3% 5.8% 8.1% 11.3% 16.8% 20.5% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.