← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.36+2.75vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.76+0.92vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College-0.17+2.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami-0.08+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.30-1.14vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University-0.56-0.23vs Predicted
-
7Rollins College-1.49+0.55vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-0.96-1.54vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University-2.28+0.17vs Predicted
-
10Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.80-1.77vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-1.97-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.75University of South Florida0.360.2%1st Place
-
2.92Jacksonville University0.760.3%1st Place
-
5.0Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.79University of Miami-0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.86Rollins College0.300.2%1st Place
-
5.77Jacksonville University-0.560.1%1st Place
-
7.55Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
-
6.46Embry-Riddle University-0.960.1%1st Place
-
9.17Florida State University-2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.23Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
8.5University of Central Florida-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach O'connor | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grayson Tella | 27.5% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Oliver West | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 16.7% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Harriss Thorne | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 10.9% |
| Tanner Cummings | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Ross Ellis | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 41.3% |
| Emma Launsby | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 17.7% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.