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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grayson Tella 25.6% 21.4% 17.2% 15.6% 9.8% 5.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver West 10.9% 12.1% 13.0% 13.9% 13.1% 12.1% 10.8% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Zach O'connor 15.0% 16.2% 17.6% 15.0% 11.2% 11.4% 7.1% 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ella Lansford 6.5% 6.8% 7.7% 9.2% 12.8% 13.7% 14.0% 13.5% 9.1% 5.8% 0.9%
Jackson McGeough 17.7% 17.2% 14.9% 13.3% 11.4% 11.0% 8.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 9.9% 11.9% 11.0% 12.6% 14.0% 13.5% 10.1% 8.6% 5.0% 2.9% 0.5%
Emma Launsby 2.9% 2.8% 3.3% 2.2% 4.8% 6.1% 9.3% 12.2% 16.8% 21.7% 17.9%
Harriss Thorne 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 5.0% 6.8% 8.7% 9.8% 14.1% 16.9% 16.9% 12.1%
Ross Ellis 1.6% 1.3% 2.6% 2.0% 2.0% 3.2% 5.7% 7.0% 13.3% 20.4% 40.9%
Tanner Cummings 5.3% 4.9% 6.7% 8.1% 9.9% 9.4% 14.5% 15.0% 13.3% 9.2% 3.7%
Nikolas Pantelis 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.4% 7.6% 11.1% 17.7% 20.9% 23.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.