Race 1A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Larson 16.5% 15.5% 14.1% 13.9% 12.6% 8.7% 8.6% 5.1% 2.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Riley 6.5% 7.2% 9.2% 7.8% 10.7% 11.6% 11.9% 11.0% 11.3% 7.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Lars Osell 9.4% 11.3% 12.2% 11.7% 12.2% 10.7% 12.3% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 22.3% 18.5% 16.8% 14.1% 10.3% 8.4% 5.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 7.4% 7.9% 6.8% 10.0% 8.2% 11.3% 9.7% 14.3% 10.5% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 11.3% 12.7% 12.4% 12.7% 11.1% 10.9% 10.4% 7.3% 5.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 14.5% 12.2% 12.7% 11.7% 13.6% 11.4% 7.7% 8.0% 4.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 4.9% 6.7% 6.4% 6.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.9% 13.7% 11.5% 11.6% 6.1% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.6% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 7.1% 9.9% 13.8% 15.6% 15.3% 11.8% 2.9% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 12.1% 16.8% 18.3% 13.5% 7.4% 0.0%
William Roberts 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 2.2% 1.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 8.1% 12.4% 18.0% 25.1% 17.9% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 2.6% 1.8% 2.9% 4.6% 4.6% 9.1% 12.6% 18.7% 24.0% 15.6% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 11.0% 18.5% 55.2% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.2% 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 12.1% 16.8% 18.3% 13.5% 7.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.