Race 2A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Valerio Palamara 13.2% 12.9% 12.9% 12.0% 12.9% 11.0% 8.7% 8.0% 4.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 23.9% 16.8% 17.7% 13.9% 10.5% 7.4% 5.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lars Osell 8.5% 12.6% 10.7% 12.6% 11.6% 11.9% 11.8% 8.3% 6.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 11.0% 12.3% 11.2% 13.4% 12.2% 10.3% 10.7% 8.3% 5.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Riley 7.5% 8.1% 7.8% 10.1% 9.0% 10.7% 12.1% 11.6% 10.8% 7.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larson 16.0% 17.2% 15.3% 12.0% 12.0% 10.1% 7.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 7.7% 7.0% 8.4% 8.2% 8.1% 11.1% 12.4% 11.2% 11.9% 7.6% 4.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 7.1% 7.6% 10.6% 11.0% 14.5% 12.0% 10.9% 6.1% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 5.3% 4.6% 3.5% 7.9% 11.2% 17.3% 17.5% 16.7% 6.3% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 5.3% 4.6% 3.5% 7.9% 11.2% 17.3% 17.5% 16.7% 6.3% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.6% 2.9% 4.6% 3.3% 4.9% 5.8% 8.0% 10.9% 12.5% 16.9% 14.1% 9.5% 4.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 5.7% 7.6% 12.6% 18.6% 24.4% 18.1% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 0.8% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 3.9% 4.8% 8.7% 12.0% 19.3% 24.8% 14.9% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 3.7% 4.1% 11.2% 18.3% 55.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.