Race 3A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sam Riley 7.6% 6.6% 7.4% 11.5% 9.0% 9.7% 12.6% 12.1% 9.6% 8.4% 4.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.9% 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 5.6% 5.9% 7.3% 8.5% 15.9% 15.0% 16.9% 9.1% 3.1% 0.0%
Lars Osell 9.3% 11.0% 11.7% 11.5% 11.5% 13.0% 10.3% 10.0% 7.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 22.5% 18.6% 16.4% 13.0% 10.8% 9.0% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 6.0% 5.3% 6.2% 8.1% 9.1% 8.2% 9.9% 13.4% 12.7% 11.5% 5.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 11.9% 14.8% 12.8% 11.7% 13.7% 10.8% 9.2% 5.6% 5.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 5.1% 8.0% 10.2% 18.3% 26.0% 19.1% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 11.1% 12.5% 12.0% 10.2% 12.0% 13.0% 11.3% 9.1% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 8.5% 10.0% 16.5% 20.2% 13.8% 7.2% 0.0%
Adam Larson 17.5% 15.9% 14.7% 13.3% 10.9% 9.2% 8.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 6.5% 6.5% 8.9% 9.4% 8.8% 11.3% 13.1% 12.1% 9.8% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 2.2% 3.3% 6.0% 9.5% 18.5% 55.2% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 1.2% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 4.4% 5.1% 9.0% 15.6% 15.9% 25.9% 14.0% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 3.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 8.5% 10.0% 16.5% 20.2% 13.8% 7.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.