Race 4A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Larson 16.7% 15.8% 15.3% 12.7% 12.5% 9.1% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 5.3% 5.0% 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 11.2% 10.7% 13.0% 11.1% 11.9% 6.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 6.1% 5.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 10.3% 11.6% 13.2% 12.3% 8.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 12.5% 14.0% 12.3% 12.6% 11.9% 10.5% 9.7% 8.1% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.7% 11.4% 12.9% 11.5% 11.8% 11.3% 10.5% 7.4% 5.7% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.3% 2.8% 5.0% 3.6% 4.6% 6.5% 7.6% 10.1% 12.9% 16.6% 14.4% 10.4% 3.2% 0.0%
Sam Riley 8.4% 8.5% 6.5% 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 12.1% 11.2% 12.0% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Lars Osell 10.8% 10.9% 11.0% 12.5% 10.7% 12.1% 12.7% 8.1% 6.2% 3.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 3.8% 4.1% 7.6% 11.6% 16.3% 17.9% 17.0% 6.6% 0.0%
William Roberts 0.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.9% 6.2% 10.6% 18.4% 25.2% 21.4% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.4% 3.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 3.8% 4.1% 7.6% 11.6% 16.3% 17.9% 17.0% 6.6% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.2% 4.9% 5.9% 9.0% 14.2% 20.3% 20.8% 12.4% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.7% 0.6% 1.7% 3.9% 5.6% 9.5% 18.9% 55.2% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 22.1% 19.0% 16.5% 13.9% 10.8% 7.5% 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.