Race 5A

hanbury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Valerio Palamara 12.9% 13.4% 12.4% 13.9% 12.0% 10.4% 9.2% 7.8% 4.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 23.0% 18.1% 17.9% 13.8% 9.3% 7.8% 5.2% 2.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 8.0% 13.0% 17.8% 17.9% 15.2% 6.3% 0.0%
Adam Larson 15.9% 16.6% 15.3% 12.4% 12.7% 8.8% 8.7% 5.4% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 6.0% 6.4% 5.8% 7.0% 9.6% 8.5% 11.5% 12.5% 12.4% 10.2% 7.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Riley 7.4% 7.7% 8.2% 9.7% 9.3% 10.5% 12.5% 11.7% 10.6% 6.9% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lars Osell 11.7% 11.8% 10.7% 10.8% 11.0% 12.8% 10.0% 9.1% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 6.2% 7.5% 7.0% 8.5% 9.3% 11.5% 12.5% 11.5% 12.6% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 10.5% 11.3% 13.2% 12.2% 12.3% 11.6% 8.8% 9.5% 5.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.7% 2.0% 3.4% 4.2% 6.0% 11.6% 18.3% 25.9% 20.4% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.8% 2.5% 2.9% 5.2% 5.2% 7.1% 6.8% 10.2% 14.9% 16.3% 13.8% 9.0% 3.3% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 8.0% 13.0% 17.8% 17.9% 15.2% 6.3% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.0% 3.2% 4.3% 5.9% 6.9% 12.5% 20.0% 23.4% 15.9% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 5.9% 10.3% 19.8% 53.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.