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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+6.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+8.44vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42+0.14vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.07+1.98vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.17+1.09vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+5.35vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.45+2.29vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.01+2.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.95vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.73-1.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-2.88vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.36-2.81vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.31-4.25vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.80-7.01vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.26-5.99vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.46vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida0.99-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Cornell University1.796.3%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.846.2%1st Place
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11.44Northeastern University1.183.0%1st Place
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4.14Yale University2.4219.1%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University2.078.2%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.178.8%1st Place
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12.35George Washington University1.071.9%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College1.454.0%1st Place
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11.99Tufts University1.012.5%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.3%1st Place
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9.12Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
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9.12Brown University1.694.8%1st Place
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10.19Boston College1.364.5%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University1.314.0%1st Place
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7.99Georgetown University1.807.1%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston1.264.8%1st Place
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12.54University of Pennsylvania1.161.6%1st Place
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12.18University of South Florida0.992.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 19.1% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 16.3% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Emily Doble | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.