Race 11B

south-series-two

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Barrows 47.9% 27.1% 13.1% 7.2% 3.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Leah Hughes 7.2% 9.9% 13.5% 16.3% 18.5% 15.2% 10.4% 6.8% 2.0% 0.2%
Chris Grabe 2.3% 5.3% 5.4% 8.5% 10.3% 13.6% 18.7% 25.0% 9.7% 1.2%
Robert Keller 2.1% 3.9% 5.3% 9.0% 10.9% 15.3% 19.4% 22.3% 10.3% 1.5%
Ambrose Gosling 22.5% 26.1% 24.8% 13.6% 7.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Chandler Salisbury 9.3% 12.8% 17.3% 18.9% 16.1% 12.8% 8.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Nate Olsen 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 3.3% 3.3% 5.5% 11.7% 54.1% 18.7%
Madeleine Harvey 3.7% 7.3% 10.3% 13.6% 14.4% 18.9% 14.2% 14.1% 3.3% 0.2%
Sean Andrew 4.3% 6.7% 9.4% 11.5% 14.5% 16.0% 19.1% 13.1% 4.9% 0.5%
Gabriel Elder 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 2.1% 3.5% 14.8% 77.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.