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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-0.70+3.21vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.08+0.93vs Predicted
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3American University-0.66+1.05vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.16+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.35+0.65vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-1.80+0.33vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.52-3.23vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.09-0.98vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Penn State University-0.7013.8%1st Place
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2.93Princeton University-0.0826.5%1st Place
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4.05American University-0.6616.3%1st Place
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5.15Drexel University-1.167.5%1st Place
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5.65University of Delaware-1.356.3%1st Place
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6.33Rutgers University-1.805.0%1st Place
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3.77Virginia Tech-0.5215.6%1st Place
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7.02University of Delaware-2.092.9%1st Place
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5.88Catholic University of America-1.856.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joseph Simpkins | 13.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
Advik Eswaran | 26.5% | 23.4% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
James Cottage | 16.3% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
Patrick Hartshorne | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
Addie Perez | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 10.8% |
Evan Kohut | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 23.6% |
Matt Averyt | 15.6% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Taylor Whiteman | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 36.8% |
John Anthony Caraig | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.