Race 10B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Gibbons 11.7% 12.3% 11.3% 10.1% 11.4% 12.9% 9.0% 8.2% 6.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Abby Preston 8.3% 8.7% 10.5% 8.5% 8.8% 12.5% 10.8% 9.0% 9.8% 6.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Connor Brady 14.0% 14.2% 14.1% 11.6% 12.7% 9.7% 7.9% 7.7% 4.0% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Cole Rice 7.9% 6.8% 9.3% 9.9% 7.8% 9.5% 12.2% 10.8% 9.3% 7.8% 6.1% 2.2% 0.4%
Barbara Murray 6.5% 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 8.9% 7.7% 8.9% 11.2% 11.5% 10.3% 8.5% 4.0% 1.0%
Michael Booker 16.1% 17.9% 13.5% 13.0% 10.7% 8.5% 7.6% 6.2% 3.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Christopher Price 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 10.8% 12.0% 10.2% 9.3% 8.3% 7.4% 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Angus Page 4.1% 5.5% 5.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 9.3% 10.2% 13.8% 13.6% 10.4% 6.2% 1.6%
Luke Miller 2.4% 2.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.0% 6.2% 8.6% 12.6% 19.7% 19.6% 11.4%
Kelly McGlynn 12.1% 10.3% 11.1% 12.2% 10.4% 8.5% 10.2% 9.0% 6.9% 5.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Isabel Elliman 2.3% 1.9% 2.8% 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 8.1% 10.0% 15.3% 17.5% 14.6% 8.2%
Charles Cahill 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 3.3% 5.0% 8.8% 12.7% 25.4% 33.8%
Whitney Washburn 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 4.2% 6.8% 12.9% 23.2% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.