Race 6A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Landon Cormie 23.0% 19.3% 16.8% 12.8% 9.0% 9.3% 5.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lars Osell 10.6% 10.6% 10.6% 12.4% 13.5% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 6.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Riley 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 9.8% 10.3% 11.8% 10.7% 11.7% 11.0% 6.9% 4.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 10.5% 11.8% 13.4% 11.3% 12.9% 10.3% 10.4% 9.5% 5.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
William Roberts 1.8% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 5.2% 8.2% 10.8% 15.8% 26.4% 20.2% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 5.6% 6.2% 5.5% 7.2% 8.9% 10.3% 10.3% 13.4% 11.3% 10.8% 6.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 7.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.4% 8.3% 10.5% 10.9% 10.8% 11.1% 8.7% 5.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.4% 2.9% 4.6% 5.3% 8.3% 11.0% 18.0% 16.2% 15.7% 7.2% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.4% 2.9% 4.6% 5.3% 8.3% 11.0% 18.0% 16.2% 15.7% 7.2% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 3.6% 5.2% 4.3% 6.7% 9.8% 14.2% 15.7% 15.6% 11.7% 3.4% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 5.5% 10.2% 17.4% 54.4% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 1.6% 3.7% 5.5% 4.8% 9.6% 13.3% 21.4% 20.6% 12.9% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 12.1% 13.2% 13.4% 10.9% 11.9% 11.9% 11.2% 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Larson 14.9% 16.8% 14.1% 14.1% 12.3% 8.8% 9.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.