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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Landon Cormie 22.8% 18.6% 16.6% 11.8% 13.2% 7.8% 4.5% 2.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Riley 6.8% 6.7% 8.6% 9.1% 10.8% 11.3% 10.7% 10.8% 11.5% 8.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
William Roberts 1.0% 0.6% 1.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 4.1% 7.9% 12.1% 19.8% 25.3% 19.4% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 12.8% 12.2% 14.6% 11.0% 12.6% 11.3% 10.6% 7.4% 4.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.1% 12.8% 11.6% 12.6% 11.6% 10.6% 10.7% 7.7% 6.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Larson 15.8% 17.2% 13.6% 15.3% 11.4% 9.4% 6.9% 5.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 7.9% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 10.9% 12.9% 11.4% 11.0% 8.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lars Osell 10.0% 12.3% 9.7% 12.3% 11.5% 14.2% 9.9% 9.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 1.1% 1.4% 2.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 4.6% 5.8% 7.5% 12.3% 18.5% 22.7% 16.3% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 8.7% 11.0% 16.9% 18.3% 15.4% 6.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 4.9% 6.2% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 9.2% 11.1% 14.3% 13.2% 9.5% 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 2.2% 3.8% 5.3% 10.9% 19.7% 52.7% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.1% 2.3% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 8.0% 10.4% 13.3% 16.6% 16.0% 10.1% 4.2% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.9% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 8.7% 11.0% 16.9% 18.3% 15.4% 6.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.