Race 9A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lars Osell 9.6% 11.6% 12.6% 11.4% 12.0% 10.6% 10.0% 10.1% 6.6% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Larson 16.3% 15.7% 14.4% 14.9% 9.8% 11.4% 7.7% 4.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 23.8% 19.1% 14.6% 13.4% 11.7% 7.4% 5.4% 2.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 4.6% 6.1% 5.3% 7.5% 7.8% 11.2% 9.8% 14.3% 10.9% 11.6% 8.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Sam Riley 7.6% 7.3% 9.1% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 12.8% 11.7% 9.3% 8.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 7.0% 6.4% 9.1% 7.7% 10.2% 10.8% 11.5% 11.9% 10.0% 8.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.3% 11.9% 12.6% 11.9% 11.5% 12.0% 9.3% 8.3% 6.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.9% 3.4% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 6.7% 7.9% 12.5% 16.7% 18.4% 12.7% 7.4% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 3.1% 2.5% 3.7% 3.4% 5.7% 4.7% 8.1% 9.7% 14.1% 15.9% 14.9% 10.4% 3.8% 0.0%
William Roberts 0.8% 0.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 4.0% 7.6% 11.9% 17.2% 24.9% 20.8% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.9% 3.4% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 3.6% 6.7% 7.9% 12.5% 16.7% 18.4% 12.7% 7.4% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 4.8% 5.3% 9.2% 22.3% 50.4% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 5.7% 9.0% 11.5% 19.3% 23.3% 16.2% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 11.5% 13.4% 12.2% 13.9% 12.5% 11.6% 10.4% 6.7% 4.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.