Race 10A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Adam Larson 16.3% 16.1% 15.4% 12.2% 11.2% 9.9% 8.7% 5.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Landon Cormie 22.8% 19.8% 16.4% 11.5% 12.0% 7.3% 5.6% 2.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lars Osell 9.7% 10.5% 12.6% 11.2% 12.9% 12.3% 9.9% 9.2% 7.1% 2.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 6.0% 6.8% 6.6% 9.8% 10.5% 9.6% 12.0% 12.2% 10.4% 9.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.8% 11.0% 12.8% 11.7% 10.4% 12.0% 9.5% 10.4% 4.8% 2.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.2% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 7.7% 12.8% 15.3% 18.8% 15.6% 5.5% 0.0%
Sam Riley 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 8.7% 8.3% 11.3% 12.4% 11.4% 10.4% 7.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 2.7% 3.5% 3.9% 3.9% 5.7% 4.5% 8.0% 9.7% 13.8% 16.7% 15.6% 9.9% 2.1% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 12.8% 13.7% 12.4% 13.2% 11.6% 10.8% 8.3% 8.1% 5.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aston Atherton 5.5% 6.3% 4.9% 7.5% 8.5% 11.6% 10.4% 11.0% 11.6% 10.6% 7.6% 3.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Patrick Cashin 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 3.2% 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 5.8% 8.8% 14.2% 19.7% 21.2% 13.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 0.9% 0.5% 1.7% 2.4% 1.3% 2.3% 3.4% 4.3% 7.3% 11.5% 15.0% 26.4% 23.0% 0.0%
Sam Woodley 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.5% 3.2% 4.5% 10.6% 19.9% 54.1% 0.0%
Luke Manternach 1.2% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.7% 7.7% 12.8% 15.3% 18.8% 15.6% 5.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.