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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.07+4.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.29vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.31+1.67vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81+2.00vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81+0.86vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-0.07vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18+0.53vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.48-3.81vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.18-1.47vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.37-2.76vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.51-4.28vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.15-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.72vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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5.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.1%1st Place
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5.86Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.93Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.53Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.19North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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7.53Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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7.24Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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6.72Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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8.35Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.28University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.7Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 11.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Bounds | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Winters | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 60.5% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 11.1% | 84.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.