Race 4B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Usher 14.2% 14.8% 10.9% 12.4% 12.1% 11.2% 8.4% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 11.4% 11.8% 12.0% 8.5% 13.5% 9.3% 10.1% 7.3% 8.1% 4.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 7.0% 8.9% 10.4% 9.8% 9.4% 10.3% 9.4% 11.5% 10.3% 7.6% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 9.5% 7.7% 8.7% 10.5% 9.5% 10.5% 10.5% 10.7% 8.3% 8.9% 4.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 7.5% 6.7% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 7.7% 9.6% 10.6% 12.3% 10.5% 8.6% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 11.4% 11.7% 11.6% 13.4% 8.9% 10.5% 9.7% 7.7% 6.9% 5.2% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Chase 17.3% 16.5% 13.9% 12.0% 11.0% 9.0% 8.0% 5.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Smith 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.4% 6.2% 8.7% 10.5% 10.5% 11.2% 15.4% 8.2% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan Young 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 8.3% 11.7% 12.7% 14.8% 14.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0%
James Bounds 9.5% 8.4% 10.4% 8.6% 10.3% 10.1% 9.4% 10.2% 9.7% 7.2% 4.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 8.3% 11.7% 12.7% 14.8% 14.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Lorenzen 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.1% 14.0% 29.9% 22.4% 2.7% 0.0%
Erin Winters 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 2.3% 3.8% 6.1% 13.3% 54.2% 13.3% 0.0%
Abigail Eck 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 3.3% 11.0% 83.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.