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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.07+4.22vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+2.21vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+3.00vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81+1.92vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.86vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.07vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.15+0.37vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.18-1.30vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.51-3.28vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+0.23vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.18-4.30vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-5.72vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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4.21North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.0Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.1%1st Place
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4.57North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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5.93Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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8.37Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.7Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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6.72Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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11.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.7Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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7.28Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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12.7Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 16.0% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Bounds | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 23.4% | 11.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Winters | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 57.6% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 6.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 11.1% | 84.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.