Race 11B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Gibbons 11.6% 11.5% 12.9% 10.5% 11.4% 9.5% 11.4% 8.3% 6.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Christopher Price 12.1% 10.2% 12.7% 12.4% 12.9% 9.2% 8.8% 8.4% 6.0% 3.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Brady 13.9% 13.8% 14.5% 13.3% 10.6% 10.6% 7.8% 6.7% 4.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Barbara Murray 5.9% 6.6% 5.0% 7.5% 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 11.2% 11.8% 10.9% 8.9% 3.8% 0.9%
Michael Booker 16.6% 15.8% 14.5% 11.2% 11.3% 10.1% 7.3% 5.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Cole Rice 8.3% 7.6% 8.4% 10.1% 8.5% 10.7% 10.6% 10.2% 8.7% 8.9% 5.6% 2.3% 0.1%
Abby Preston 10.2% 9.3% 9.1% 8.8% 9.3% 10.7% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 7.9% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Luke Miller 1.6% 2.7% 3.2% 2.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 8.9% 14.8% 17.6% 20.4% 9.6%
Angus Page 5.1% 4.8% 4.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 11.4% 12.4% 13.7% 11.8% 5.6% 2.5%
Isabel Elliman 2.2% 3.1% 2.8% 3.7% 3.4% 4.8% 5.1% 6.9% 11.0% 13.7% 16.1% 16.3% 10.9%
Kelly McGlynn 10.9% 13.4% 10.3% 11.6% 10.4% 10.6% 11.6% 6.5% 7.2% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Charles Cahill 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.1% 7.8% 14.4% 24.2% 32.8%
Whitney Washburn 0.8% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.1% 1.8% 3.1% 3.7% 6.1% 13.4% 23.1% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.