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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.66+2.99vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-0.70+2.21vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.52+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.35+1.54vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.08-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.09+1.02vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.16-1.83vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.80-1.57vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99American University-0.6614.5%1st Place
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4.21Penn State University-0.7012.7%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech-0.5217.7%1st Place
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5.54University of Delaware-1.357.0%1st Place
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2.99Princeton University-0.0827.2%1st Place
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7.02University of Delaware-2.092.4%1st Place
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5.17Drexel University-1.168.2%1st Place
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6.43Rutgers University-1.805.2%1st Place
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5.89Catholic University of America-1.855.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 12.7% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Matt Averyt | 17.7% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Addie Perez | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% |
| Advik Eswaran | 27.2% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 20.1% | 35.6% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Evan Kohut | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 24.5% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.