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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.07+4.25vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+3.97vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.31+1.66vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81+1.97vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.37+1.98vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.48-1.82vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-2.79vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.18-1.32vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.15-1.62vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.18-3.32vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-0.79vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.51-6.12vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.66North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.1%1st Place
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6.98Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.18North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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5.91Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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7.68Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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8.38Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.68Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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11.21University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.88Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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12.7Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Bounds | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 16.7% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 11.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erin Winters | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 55.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 11.6% | 84.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.