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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.07+4.09vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+2.11vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.31+1.53vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+1.78vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+0.78vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.51+0.51vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.15+1.06vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.18-0.64vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.66+0.32vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.18-2.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-5.90vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.81-6.44vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.86vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-3.44-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Old Dominion University1.070.1%1st Place
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4.11North Carolina State University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.53North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.78Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.78Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.51Washington College0.510.1%1st Place
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8.06Princeton University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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9.32Christopher Newport University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.36Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.810.1%1st Place
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11.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.67Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 13.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 12.2% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Jones | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 8.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 27.9% | 19.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Bounds | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Winters | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 14.4% | 52.3% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 10.4% | 83.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.