Race 10B

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robert Chase 17.8% 15.9% 13.0% 14.2% 11.7% 8.6% 7.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.7% 11.0% 9.9% 10.2% 10.7% 10.1% 6.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Usher 13.8% 14.1% 13.2% 12.1% 11.5% 11.0% 8.8% 7.1% 4.7% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 11.6% 10.4% 12.3% 11.3% 11.7% 8.9% 11.3% 7.7% 7.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sebastian Beavers 2.3% 2.8% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 5.0% 4.8% 6.9% 8.9% 14.2% 28.1% 17.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 11.8% 12.3% 11.5% 11.4% 9.7% 11.4% 9.6% 8.3% 5.9% 5.3% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Aidan Young 5.4% 5.4% 7.0% 6.1% 5.6% 6.1% 9.7% 11.2% 12.7% 14.3% 12.0% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 6.0% 6.7% 8.3% 7.6% 8.6% 9.9% 9.6% 10.8% 14.9% 10.0% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Aidan Young 5.4% 5.4% 7.0% 6.1% 5.6% 6.1% 9.7% 11.2% 12.7% 14.3% 12.0% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Advik Eswaran 3.7% 3.8% 3.2% 4.6% 6.2% 4.7% 6.5% 9.8% 11.7% 17.2% 19.7% 8.6% 0.3% 0.0%
James Bounds 9.5% 9.0% 10.1% 9.7% 9.3% 10.3% 8.6% 10.3% 9.2% 8.7% 4.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 9.0% 10.0% 8.1% 10.5% 10.4% 12.3% 11.5% 9.3% 7.4% 6.4% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Abigail Eck 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 2.7% 10.4% 83.3% 0.0%
Erin Winters 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 1.3% 1.8% 3.4% 6.0% 13.7% 54.3% 13.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.