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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+1.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.33-1.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.70vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.09-0.77vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University1.06-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.56Boston University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.25Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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6.23Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.16Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 17.6% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Grant Adam | 23.5% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 14.7% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 49.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 27.6% | 33.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.