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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.20vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+1.12vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.33-1.20vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.69vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.09-0.75vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University1.06-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.57Boston University1.440.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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6.25Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.17Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 22.4% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 12.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 13.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 14.6% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 48.6% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.4% | 28.3% | 33.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.4% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.