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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.33+0.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44-0.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.80vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.70vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University1.06-2.70vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.09-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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3.56Boston University1.440.2%1st Place
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4.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.3Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.17Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 23.3% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 15.3% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 12.0% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 49.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 29.9% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.