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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+3.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+1.57vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+0.77vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.35vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06-0.59vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.01+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.33-3.04vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.09-1.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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3.57Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.77Boston University1.440.2%1st Place
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4.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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4.41Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.56McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Rhode Island1.330.2%1st Place
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6.73Amherst College-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Grant Adam | 15.9% | 21.7% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 17.8% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 13.0% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 21.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 15.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 24.0% | 25.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.