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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.64+2.63vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+1.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+1.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75-2.90vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.11+0.37vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.61-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.6Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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4.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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6.37Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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6.99Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Morrison | 13.8% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.8% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| John Divelbiss | 8.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 3.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 3.2% |
| Max Sigel | 42.9% | 26.0% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 31.0% | 30.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 23.0% | 55.8% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.