Race 12B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Gibbons 11.2% 12.0% 13.5% 9.3% 11.6% 9.9% 10.4% 9.0% 6.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Cole Rice 8.0% 7.1% 9.0% 8.4% 9.7% 10.5% 11.3% 9.8% 10.3% 8.5% 4.5% 2.6% 0.3%
Angus Page 3.0% 4.4% 5.7% 7.9% 6.1% 7.8% 9.2% 9.0% 13.0% 14.3% 11.0% 7.0% 1.6%
Barbara Murray 5.2% 6.6% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 10.4% 8.5% 11.2% 12.4% 12.2% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9%
Christopher Price 12.4% 13.7% 11.1% 12.3% 9.3% 10.4% 10.3% 8.8% 5.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Brady 16.3% 14.6% 13.0% 11.3% 11.7% 10.1% 8.4% 5.9% 4.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Booker 17.6% 15.4% 12.6% 12.8% 12.4% 9.2% 6.8% 7.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Miller 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.9% 4.1% 3.1% 3.9% 7.0% 9.3% 13.2% 18.4% 21.2% 9.6%
Abby Preston 8.7% 8.1% 8.2% 9.8% 11.6% 9.9% 10.3% 10.4% 8.6% 7.5% 4.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Isabel Elliman 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 3.8% 2.9% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 11.8% 12.8% 17.3% 15.7% 11.1%
Kelly McGlynn 11.2% 11.4% 12.3% 11.8% 10.1% 10.7% 10.2% 8.2% 7.8% 3.6% 1.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Charles Cahill 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 7.9% 15.2% 23.3% 33.1%
Whitney Washburn 0.9% 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 6.8% 13.9% 22.3% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.