← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1American University-0.66+2.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Delaware-1.35+3.58vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.08+0.03vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.16+1.16vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech-0.52-1.21vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-2.09+1.02vs Predicted
-
7Rutgers University-1.80-0.57vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-1.85-2.17vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-0.70-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96American University-0.6615.8%1st Place
-
5.58University of Delaware-1.356.5%1st Place
-
3.03Princeton University-0.0825.7%1st Place
-
5.16Drexel University-1.168.4%1st Place
-
3.79Virginia Tech-0.5217.3%1st Place
-
7.02University of Delaware-2.093.0%1st Place
-
6.43Rutgers University-1.804.2%1st Place
-
5.83Catholic University of America-1.855.2%1st Place
-
4.2Penn State University-0.7013.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cottage | 15.8% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Addie Perez | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Advik Eswaran | 25.7% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Hartshorne | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Matt Averyt | 17.3% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 37.5% |
| Evan Kohut | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 23.9% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.