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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.64+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+0.11vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.08+0.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26-0.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.59vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.610.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University-1.11-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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2.11University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.6Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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4.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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7.0Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Morrison | 13.6% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Max Sigel | 42.3% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 14.9% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Begin | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 3.9% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 3.9% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 19.1% | 58.2% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 33.1% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.