← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.12vs Predicted
-
2Brown University0.64+1.76vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+1.42vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.69-0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.53-1.03vs Predicted
-
6Boston University-1.11+0.44vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-2.43vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College-1.61-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.12University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
-
3.76Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.71Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
-
3.97University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
-
6.44Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
4.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
-
7.02Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 42.3% | 27.3% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 12.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.4% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Ella Towner | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| John Divelbiss | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 4.9% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 24.8% | 54.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.