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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+3.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.20vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.53-0.75vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.01vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.11+0.28vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.22-3.03vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-1.61-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.1%1st Place
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4.2Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.96Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Vermont0.530.1%1st Place
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4.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.97McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
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7.9Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 36.6% | 25.7% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.2% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Ella Towner | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 2.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 32.5% | 30.3% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 3.3% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 20.2% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.