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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.67+5.11vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.59+7.88vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.39+4.18vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.64+5.70vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.14vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-3.42vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.41+3.58vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24+5.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.93vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-4.42vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.17-2.61vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.64-0.40vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.42-5.30vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.59vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-5.88vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.22vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.71-2.26vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-2.34-1.59vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.80-4.02vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-2.08-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of Southern California1.670.1%1st Place
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9.88Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Southern California1.390.1%1st Place
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9.7Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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5.98California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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13.58University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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16.37Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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8.58California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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11.39San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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14.6University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.7California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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14.41University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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17.74University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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19.41San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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17.98San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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18.76California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 17.5% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 22.2% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| George Soliman | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.9% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 35.2% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 15.6% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.