← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.58+2.78vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii2.38+2.25vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.67+3.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.39+3.22vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands0.42+5.77vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.64+3.80vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University0.59+2.84vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-4.93vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-4.06vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington0.38-0.32vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-1.24+3.65vs Predicted
-
14California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-5.25vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University0.17-3.13vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-3.50vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.50vs Predicted
-
18San Diego State University-2.34+1.55vs Predicted
-
19San Diego State University-1.80-0.88vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.20vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.04vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-5.13vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Berkeley-0.64-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.78Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
-
4.25University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
6.41University of Southern California1.670.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of Southern California1.390.1%1st Place
-
10.77California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
9.8Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.84Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
4.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
-
5.94California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of Washington0.380.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
16.65Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.75California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
11.87San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
12.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
-
14.5University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
19.55San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
-
18.12San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
18.8California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
17.96University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
16.87University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
14.48University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 20.1% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.5% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 17.4% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Downey | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 35.1% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 19.7% | 22.3% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 13.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.