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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.05+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53+1.80vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+6.40vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.47-0.08vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-1.09vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.08+2.62vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.10+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.01+0.09vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.12+2.61vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.48-0.77vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.19-3.25vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.30vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.75-2.77vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.79+0.17vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.16-3.02vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-2.30vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-2.78-0.10vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-3.25-0.14vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.45vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-2.04-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Stanford University1.050.1%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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4.8University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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10.4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.91California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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9.62Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.61University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.75San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.7California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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13.23Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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17.17Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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14.98Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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16.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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19.9California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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20.86San Diego State University-3.250.0%1st Place
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19.55University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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18.0San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Baldwin | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.7% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 14.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Down | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Liam Williams | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 22.5% | 22.8% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 40.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 21.5% | 20.7% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.