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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.43+4.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.11vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+6.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.97vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.47-0.03vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.05+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.12+7.49vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.53-3.22vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.01+0.18vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.16+4.08vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.75+1.10vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.68vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.79+2.85vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.48-2.70vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.84-2.43vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California-0.10-6.33vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.19-6.87vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-2.04-1.35vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.11vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.78-1.05vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-3.25-1.09vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.62-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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9.81Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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6.11Stanford University1.050.1%1st Place
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14.49University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
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4.78University of Hawaii1.530.2%1st Place
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10.43California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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15.08Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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13.1Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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16.85Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.57California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.13San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.65San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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16.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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19.95California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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20.91San Diego State University-3.250.0%1st Place
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19.64University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Myers | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 17.4% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Trey Summers | 15.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 6.1% |
| Liam Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 45.4% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.