← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+9.45vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+6.08vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.53+1.81vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University0.08+5.80vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.47-0.08vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.97vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University1.05-0.90vs Predicted
-
8California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.88vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.12vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-1.12+4.56vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.52vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California-0.10-1.52vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.75+0.31vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.16+0.52vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-0.19-3.95vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington-0.48-3.82vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-1.79+0.16vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-0.84-4.30vs Predicted
-
19California State University Channel Islands-2.78+0.70vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.07vs Predicted
-
21University of California at San Diego-2.62-1.48vs Predicted
-
22San Diego State University-2.04-4.01vs Predicted
-
23San Diego State University-3.25-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.45California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
-
4.81University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
9.8Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
4.92University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
-
4.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
-
6.1Stanford University1.050.1%1st Place
-
5.12California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
-
10.12University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
-
14.56University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
-
10.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
-
13.31Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
14.52Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
11.05San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
12.18University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
-
17.16Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
13.7California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
-
19.7California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
-
16.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
19.52University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
-
17.99San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
20.98San Diego State University-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 18.4% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 14.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Florence Duff | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 22.1% | 22.1% |
| Liam Williams | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 19.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.