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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+3.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.05+4.30vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+6.89vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+4.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-0.01+5.18vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.12vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.43-2.07vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.53-4.25vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.75+3.11vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.51vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.84+1.52vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.19-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.12+0.40vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.48-2.75vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.79+1.01vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.16-2.14vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.78+2.04vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California-0.10-8.68vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-2.04-2.15vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-3.25-0.11vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-5.04vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.62-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.2%1st Place
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6.3Stanford University1.050.1%1st Place
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9.89Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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4.93California Poly Maritime Academy1.430.1%1st Place
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10.53California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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13.11Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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10.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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13.52California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.08San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.4University of California at Berkeley-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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17.01Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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14.86Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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20.04California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.85San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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20.89San Diego State University-3.250.0%1st Place
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16.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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19.6University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 16.5% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Baldwin | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clay Myers | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoe Flemate | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Down | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 6.8% |
| Cal Dunstan | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 43.1% |
| Liam Williams | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 21.4% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.