← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University1.08+0.88vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.16vs Predicted
-
3Princeton University-0.93+0.88vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.51vs Predicted
-
5American University-0.85-1.08vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University-1.87-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88Princeton University1.080.4%1st Place
-
1.84Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.4%1st Place
-
3.88Princeton University-0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
-
3.92American University-0.850.0%1st Place
-
4.96Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 41.2% | 37.9% | 14.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Turner | 43.4% | 35.2% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 6.2% | 8.1% | 24.3% | 26.2% | 23.5% | 11.7% |
| Henry Powell | 2.7% | 5.7% | 13.6% | 21.5% | 28.9% | 27.6% |
| Brooke Lorson | 4.7% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 27.9% | 21.1% | 13.9% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.8% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 24.2% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.