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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+0.88vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+1.50vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.93-0.09vs Predicted
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5American University-0.85-1.11vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-1.87-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Princeton University1.080.4%1st Place
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1.85Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.4%1st Place
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4.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University-0.930.0%1st Place
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3.89American University-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.97Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 40.5% | 38.8% | 14.8% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Turner | 43.9% | 34.6% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Powell | 3.7% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 22.2% | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 4.9% | 8.9% | 23.0% | 28.1% | 23.7% | 11.4% |
| Brooke Lorson | 5.1% | 9.3% | 25.0% | 26.1% | 20.7% | 13.8% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.9% | 3.0% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 24.5% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.