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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.93+2.56vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.21vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08-1.22vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.87+0.36vs Predicted
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6American University-0.85-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Princeton University-0.930.1%1st Place
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1.79Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.4%1st Place
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1.78Princeton University1.080.4%1st Place
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4.36Villanova University-1.870.0%1st Place
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3.51American University-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 6.3% | 7.8% | 30.2% | 35.0% | 20.7% |
| Cameron Turner | 42.5% | 39.4% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Asher Green | 43.7% | 39.0% | 13.4% | 3.8% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gordon | 2.1% | 3.9% | 10.1% | 23.6% | 60.3% |
| Brooke Lorson | 5.4% | 9.9% | 31.5% | 34.5% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.