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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.11vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+4.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.49vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+1.88vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+3.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-1.26vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.39+0.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.03vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+2.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-1.46vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.88+0.16vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-1.89vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.95-6.03vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.41-1.46vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.79vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-10.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Harvard University3.0512.9%1st Place
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5.11Yale University2.7314.9%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island2.785.5%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.227.8%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.206.5%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College2.033.3%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.688.9%1st Place
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9.95Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.8%1st Place
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13.05University of Vermont1.051.5%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University1.712.9%1st Place
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13.16Connecticut College0.881.6%1st Place
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12.11Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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8.97Dartmouth College1.954.8%1st Place
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14.54Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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14.21Olin College of Engineering0.460.8%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 29.7% |
| Peter Schnell | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 24.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.