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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+0.46vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.01-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-1.42+0.52vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.17-1.68vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.79-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Jacksonville University0.840.4%1st Place
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2.46University of South Florida0.450.3%1st Place
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2.98Rollins College0.010.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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3.32Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
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5.65Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 38.5% | 32.1% | 16.7% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 29.5% | 25.1% | 22.3% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| KA Hamner | 16.0% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 26.7% | 9.7% | 1.2% |
| Ava Moring | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 50.2% | 15.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 12.2% | 15.8% | 24.0% | 27.1% | 17.4% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 13.9% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.