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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+1.00vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45-0.66vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.01-1.18vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-2.79-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Jacksonville University0.840.4%1st Place
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3.01Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
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2.34University of South Florida0.450.3%1st Place
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2.82Rollins College0.010.2%1st Place
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4.83Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 41.9% | 27.9% | 19.9% | 9.1% | 1.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 12.7% | 19.0% | 26.8% | 37.1% | 4.4% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 27.5% | 30.0% | 24.4% | 17.1% | 1.0% |
| KA Hamner | 17.1% | 21.9% | 26.9% | 30.4% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 6.3% | 89.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.