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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+0.38vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.01-0.20vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17-1.00vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-2.79-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Jacksonville University0.840.4%1st Place
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2.38University of South Florida0.450.3%1st Place
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2.8Rollins College0.010.2%1st Place
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3.0Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
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4.82Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 40.3% | 30.7% | 18.4% | 9.3% | 1.3% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 27.4% | 27.2% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 1.3% |
| KA Hamner | 18.1% | 21.0% | 26.6% | 31.4% | 2.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 13.4% | 19.9% | 25.7% | 35.5% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 89.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.