Race 1A

boston-fr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 8.1% 7.9% 9.3% 12.2% 13.9% 14.1% 14.8%
Ryan McGauley 14.6% 14.8% 14.4% 13.3% 12.8% 9.7% 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 0.8%
Laura Hamilton 24.1% 20.9% 16.3% 14.5% 9.8% 6.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Andy Yu 11.5% 13.6% 13.0% 12.9% 14.6% 10.8% 10.4% 6.0% 4.9% 2.3%
Tiare Sierra 8.1% 9.5% 7.9% 8.5% 10.4% 12.9% 12.6% 11.5% 10.7% 7.9%
Michelangelo Vecchio 15.9% 12.6% 15.6% 12.7% 11.8% 11.1% 8.8% 7.1% 3.2% 1.2%
William Wiegand 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.6% 7.5% 8.0% 11.1% 12.1% 17.9% 27.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.9% 9.0% 10.3% 9.4% 10.0% 13.8% 11.1% 11.8% 10.4% 6.3%
Blake Vogel 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 7.3% 9.0% 8.2% 10.2% 14.1% 17.8% 19.6%
Ted Lutton 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 7.7% 6.2% 9.5% 10.6% 14.2% 16.0% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.