Race 2A

boston-fr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan McGauley 15.7% 14.8% 14.5% 14.4% 10.3% 10.2% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 1.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 7.8% 8.6% 8.4% 10.7% 11.6% 13.6% 10.8% 10.2% 11.9% 6.4%
Olin Guck 5.7% 5.9% 7.9% 5.4% 8.0% 9.7% 13.6% 15.1% 15.3% 13.4%
Michelangelo Vecchio 14.1% 13.2% 15.6% 13.5% 13.9% 10.0% 6.9% 7.3% 3.9% 1.6%
Laura Hamilton 24.6% 22.6% 15.6% 12.6% 10.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Tiare Sierra 7.8% 8.6% 9.0% 9.4% 9.8% 12.8% 12.0% 11.6% 10.3% 8.7%
Ted Lutton 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 7.3% 8.1% 8.3% 14.6% 14.4% 15.4% 17.5%
William Wiegand 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 6.5% 7.6% 7.1% 8.9% 13.1% 17.8% 27.0%
Andy Yu 12.7% 13.1% 13.1% 12.6% 12.6% 12.2% 9.9% 7.3% 4.6% 1.9%
Blake Vogel 4.3% 4.9% 5.1% 7.6% 7.2% 10.2% 10.0% 12.2% 16.7% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.