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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Andy Yu 12.6% 14.0% 13.8% 12.5% 11.7% 11.2% 8.6% 7.6% 5.7% 2.3%
Laura Hamilton 24.9% 20.7% 16.9% 12.5% 10.3% 6.3% 4.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Michelangelo Vecchio 13.7% 13.4% 14.2% 12.6% 14.0% 11.7% 8.5% 7.2% 3.3% 1.4%
Tiare Sierra 6.4% 7.6% 10.3% 9.9% 10.4% 11.6% 13.6% 12.7% 9.0% 8.5%
Olin Guck 5.9% 7.8% 6.2% 7.8% 7.8% 9.4% 12.9% 13.3% 15.0% 13.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 9.1% 8.0% 9.9% 9.5% 12.6% 11.3% 11.5% 11.1% 9.9% 7.1%
Ted Lutton 4.1% 4.2% 5.5% 7.2% 7.5% 11.1% 11.2% 14.7% 17.4% 17.1%
William Wiegand 3.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.9% 6.8% 6.6% 9.8% 12.5% 19.1% 26.8%
Ryan McGauley 15.9% 14.2% 13.3% 15.3% 11.0% 11.8% 9.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.0%
Blake Vogel 4.1% 5.7% 5.1% 6.8% 7.9% 9.0% 10.0% 12.9% 16.8% 21.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.