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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+3.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+1.20vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.09+1.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.15+1.37vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52-0.47vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.97-0.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72-0.68vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.14-4.85vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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3.2Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.34Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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5.53Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.86Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.15Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 24.9% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 13.7% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| Olin Guck | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 13.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| William Wiegand | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 26.8% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.