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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.15+5.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.14+2.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+2.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.09+0.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97-1.47vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52-1.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-4.84vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93-2.12vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.97-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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4.21Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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5.86Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.3Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.62Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.16Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.82Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Guck | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.3% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| William Wiegand | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 28.2% |
| Andy Yu | 14.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 24.9% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.