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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.09+3.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+2.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+2.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.14+0.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63-1.86vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.97+0.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.15-1.65vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52-3.43vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Bowdoin College2.090.1%1st Place
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4.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.85Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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4.16Boston College2.140.2%1st Place
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3.14Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
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6.8Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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5.57Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Andy Yu | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% |
| Ryan McGauley | 15.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Laura Hamilton | 24.6% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 19.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 20.1% |
| Olin Guck | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 12.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| William Wiegand | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.